Civilian Evacuation During War: Evidence from Ukraine
Type
discussion paper
Date Issued
2023-11-27
Author(s)
Seung-Keun Martinez
;
Monika Pompeo
;
Roman Sheremeta
;
Volodymyr Vakhitov
;
;
Nataliia Zaika
Abstract
In times of war, evacuating civilians from conflict zones is of critical importance for their survival and well-being. However, many people are hesitant to evacuate. Text-based nudges are a promising, yet unexplored, tool to increase willingness to evacuate. We conduct a controlled survey experiment in Ukraine in July of 2022-during the ongoing war against Russia. We varied the framing of, and information provided in, automated alert messages. Our findings suggest that providing individuals with an evacuation plan in the message is crucial. The specific framing of the message itself does not play a significant role in the perceived effectiveness of the messages. Observational data on actual evacuation behavior from the same sample of individuals supports this conclusion-finding that those who were offered evacuation assistance from people outside of their household were more likely to flee to safer areas.
Language
English
Keywords
Evacuation
Ukraine War
Subject(s)
File(s)![Thumbnail Image]()
Name
2023-11 Evacuation Ukraine SSRN.pdf
Size
1.22 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
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