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Publication GLOW UP Study: Protocol for an Observational Digital Biomarker Study for Prediabetes Screening and Digital Phenotyping(medRxiv, 2026-03-12)Introduction Prediabetes, a key precursor to type 2 diabetes, is highly prevalent and underdiagnosed, particularly among adults aged ≥45 years with elevated body mass index (BMI). Early detection is critical because lifestyle interventions can delay or prevent progression to type 2 diabetes. The Glow Up (GLucose Observation and Wearable Use for Prevention) study aims to (1) test the feasibility of a digital biomarker for prediabetes screening using wearable– and smartphone-derived lifestyle factors (e.g., sleep, physical activity, and nutrition patterns), in daily life and to (2) characterize individual– and metabolic subgroup-level variability in lifestyle factors and glycemic control. Specifically, we aim to examine how lifestyle factors relate to diabetes risk and identify personalized predictors of early metabolic dysregulation. Methods and analysis Glow Up is a prospective, single-center, observational case-control study conducted in Switzerland. Adults (N=200) aged ≥45 years with BMI ≥25 kg/m² will be recruited, including n=100 individuals with prediabetes and n=100 age– and sex-matched case-control normoglycemic controls. Participants will undergo four weeks of continuous monitoring using a blinded continuous glucose monitor (CGM), and commercial– and medical-grade wearables; e.g. capturing physical activity, sleep, and physiological markers (heart rate variability, heart rate and skin temperature); in addition to completing daily image-based meal logs, using smartphones. Glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and body anthropometrics will be collected at baseline and follow-up, four weeks apart. Primary outcomes include HbA1c and FPG, measured at approximately four week follow-up. Secondary outcomes include CGM metrics, lifestyle profiling (sleep, physical activity, stress, and nutrition), and adherence to image-based meal logging. Ethics and dissemination The study has received ethics approval from the Ethics Committee of Eastern Switzerland (BASEC ID.: 2025-00972). Results will be published in international peer-reviewed journals and at national and international conferences as posters, presentations, and articles. Summaries will be provided to the funders and personalized reports to participants. Trial registration number NCT07373418 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Is Chinese trade policy motivated by environmental concerns?(Elsevier BV, 2017-03)Type:Journal:Volume: - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Can Reminders of Rules Induce Compliance? Experimental Evidence from a Common Pool Resource Setting(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2020-12-11)This paper presents results from an RCT exploring whether a behavioural intervention can improve the conservation of a common pool resource. The literature on common pool resource management suggests that the existence of rules and sanctions is important to resource conservation. However, behavioural science suggests that individuals have finite cognitive capacity and may not be attentive to these rules and sanctions. This paper investigates the impact of an SMS message intervention designed to improve users’ knowledge of and attentiveness to existing forest use rules. An RCT in Uganda explores the impact of these messages on forest use and compliance with the rules. This paper finds that SMS messages raise the perceived probability of sanctions for rule-breakers. However, SMS messages do not induce full compliance with forest use rules or systematically reduce forest use.Type:Journal:Volume:Issue: - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Ambitious subsidy reform by the WTO presents opportunities for ocean health restoration(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2020-09-28)The World Trade Organization (WTO) is in a unique position to deliver on Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 14.6 by reforming global fisheries subsidies in 2020. Yet, a number of unanswered questions threaten to inhibit WTO delegates from crafting a smart agreement that improves global fisheries health. We combine global data on industrial fishing activity, subsidies, and stock assessments to show that: (1) subsidies prop up fishing effort all across the world’s ocean and (2) larger subsidies tend to occur in fisheries that are poorly managed. When combined, this evidence suggests that subsidy reform could have geographically-extensive consequences for many of the world’s largest fisheries. While much work remains to establish causality and make quantitative predictions, this evidence informs the rapidly-evolving policy debate and we conclude with actionable policy suggestions.Type:Journal:Volume:Issue: - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Publication Adoption of community monitoring improves common pool resource management across contexts(Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021-07-12)Pervasive overuse and degradation of common pool resources (CPRs) is a global concern. To sustainably manage CPRs, effective governance institutions are essential. A large literature has developed to describe the institutional design features employed by communities that successfully manage their CPRs. Yet, these designs remain far from universally adopted. We focus on one prominent institutional design feature, community monitoring, and ask whether nongovernmental organizations or governments can facilitate its adoption and whether adoption of monitoring affects CPR use. To answer these questions, we implemented randomized controlled trials in six countries. The harmonized trials randomly assigned the introduction of community monitoring to 400 communities, with data collection in an additional 347 control communities. Most of the 400 communities adopted regular monitoring practices over the course of a year. In a meta-analysis of the experimental results from the six sites, we find that the community monitoring reduced CPR use and increased user satisfaction and knowledge by modest amounts. Our findings demonstrate that community monitoring can improve CPR management in disparate contexts, even when monitoring is externally initiated rather than homegrown. These findings provide guidance for the design of future programs and policies intended to develop monitoring capabilities in communities. Furthermore, our harmonized, multisite trial provides sustainability science with a new way to study the complexity of socioecological systems and builds generalizable insights about how to improve CPR management.Type:Journal:Volume:Issue:
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Publication The dubious hold-up over NAMA(Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), 2011)If trade diplomats thought they knew one thing, it was how to cut industrial tariffs. Yet the Doha deadlock rests squarely on the inability to compromise on industrial tariff cuts. This column says that the arguments made for higher levels of ambition don't stand up to much scrutiny and should not be allowed to provide a basis for a continuing impasse. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
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