Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
  • Publication
    Credit booms and busts in emerging markets. The role of bank governance and risk management
    (Wiley-Blackwell, 2017-04-12) ;
    We investigate to what extent corporate governance and risk management mitigate the involvement of banks in credit boom and bust cycles. We study a unique, hand-collected dataset covering 156 banks from Central and Eastern Europe during 2005–2012. We document that stronger risk management is associated with more moderate pre-crisis credit growth but not with fewer credit losses in the crisis. With respect to bank governance, we find that a higher share of foreign members on the supervisory board is associated with less rapid credit growth in the pre-crisis period and a lower level of credit losses during the crisis period.
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    Scopus© Citations 23
  • Publication
    Stress-testing for portfolios of commodity futures
    (Elsevier, 2015-11-01) ;
    Mudry, Pierre-Antoine
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    In this paper, we perform stress-testing for a portfolio of commodity futures which mimics the dynamics of the DJ-UBS index. We identify extreme events that impacted commodity prices over time and look at correlation structures in a dynamic way, with copula functions. In line with Basel III financial regulations, we derive baseline, historical, and hybrid scenarios and discussed their advantages and shortfalls. We find that the financialization of commodity markets led to an increase in correlations and in the probability for joint extremes. However, we identify structural breaks in commodity markets that temporarily led to a breakdown of expected statistical patterns and of traditional dependence structures among commodities. This fact shows the need for forward-looking stress testing techniques, like hybrid and hypothetical scenarios, as encouraged by financial regulators.
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    Scopus© Citations 11
  • Publication
    The nexus between competition and efficiency: The European banking industries experience
    (Elsevier, 2014-06)
    In this paper, we investigate competition in banking systems in the EU27 as a whole for the period 2004-2010, but also for old members' banking systems compared with new members' banking systems and for banking systems from countries member of euro zone compares with banking systems from countries non-member of euro zone. In order to investigate this issue, we estimate a non-structural indicator of banking competition, using the H-statistic indicator that is estimated using bank-level data. Also, we apply two tests of convergence, ?- and ?-convergence, for assessing competition evolution during the specified period. We want to fill the gap in the banking literature testing the validity of the Competition-Efficiency Hypothesis, analysing the impact of the banking competition measures on two alternative measures of efficiency, cost and profit efficiency, in the European banking systems in a Granger-causality manner. The results confirm us that in the EU the convergence process occur from the banking systems with higher competition level than the mean score of all countries. The evidence for all groups of countries, except non-euro zone group, where results are not statistically significant, confirm the Competition-Efficiency Hypothesis in terms of cost and profit efficiency.
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    Scopus© Citations 51
  • Publication
    Decomposing time-frequency relationship between producer price and consumer price indices in Romania through wavelet analysis
    (Elsevier, 2013-03)
    This study analyses Granger-causality between the return series of CPI and PPI (i.e., inflation measured by CPI and PPI) for Romania, by using monthly data covering the period of 1991m1 to 2011m11. To analyse the issue in depth, this study decomposes the time-frequency relationship between CPI- and PPI-based inflation through a continuous wavelet approach. Our results provide strong evidence that there are cyclical effects from variables (as variables are observed in phase), while anti-cyclical effects are not observed.
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    Scopus© Citations 77
  • Publication
    Credit Booms and Busts in Emerging Markets: The Role of Bank Governance and Risk Management
    This paper investigates to what extent risk management and corporate governance mitigate the involvement of banks in credit boom and bust cycles. Using a unique, hand-collected dataset on 156 banks from Central and Eastern Europe during 2005-2012, we assess whether banks with stronger risk management and corporate governance display more moderate credit growth in the pre-crisis credit boom as well as a smaller credit contraction and fewer credit losses in the crisis period. With respect to bank governance we document that a higher share of financial experts on the supervisory board is associated with more rapid credit growth in the pre-crisis period and a larger contraction of credit in the crisis period, but not with larger credit losses. With respect to risk management we document that a strong risk committee is associated with more moderate pre-crisis credit growth but not with fewer credit losses in the crisis. We find no evidence of an organizational learning process among crisis-hit banks: those banks with the largest credit losses during the crisis are least likely to improve their risk management in the aftermath of the crisis.