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Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section

2024 , Andreas Oesinghaus

This paper examines extrapolative patterns of analysts’ expectations in the cross-section of firms. Using analysts’ target prices, I estimate the degree of extrapolative weighting capturing the relative weight analysts place on recent versus distant realized returns when forming their price expectation. I show considerable levels of extrapolation in the overall sample and on firm level. Results suggest considerable cross-sectional variation of extrapolation with valuation difficulty having a positive impact on the degree of extrapolative weighting. Furthermore, I construct a time-series of the degree of extrapolative weighting and argue that its time-series variation is also explained by valuation difficulty.

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Steuerung in Familienunternehmen

2024-04 , Andreas Oesinghaus , Jonah Mostler , Klaus Möller

Family firms have unique characteristics due to their financial and emotional ties to a family, which influence the design of their control systems. This article explores these interactions, providing a systematic basis for management accountants and owners to express and align their expectations for the control system. Further, the dominant role of informal controls in family firms is emphasized.

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Biases in Controlling und Machine Learning: Wie sich Entscheidungsanomalien auswirken und bewältigen lassen

2023-06 , Andreas Oesinghaus