Paul Maximilian Schaudt
Title
Dr.
Last Name
Schaudt
First name
Paul Maximilian
Email
paul.schaudt@unisg.ch
Phone
+41 71 224 3161
13 results
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Item type:Publication, Armed groups: Competition and political violenceWe show that the proliferation of armed groups increases the amount of organized political violence. The natural death of a tribal leader provides quasi-experimental variation in the number of armed groups across districts in Pakistan. Employing event study designs and IV-regressions allows us to isolate the effect of the number of armed groups on political violence from locational fundamentals of conflict, e.g., local financing and recruiting opportunities or government capacity. In line with the idea that armed groups compete for resources and supporters, we estimate semi-elasticities of an additional armed group on political violence ranging from 50 to 60%. Introducing a novel proxy for government counter-insurgency efforts enables us to show that this increase is driven by insurgency groups and not the state. Moreover, we show that groups splitting-up compensate for their capacity loss by switching to non-capital intensive attacks.Type:journal articleJournal:Journal of Development EconomicsVolume:162Scopus© Citations 6 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Insuring peace: Index-based livestock insurance, droughts, and conflict *(2024-01) ;Gehring, KaiWe provide quasi-experimental evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate drought-induced conflict. Droughts are a major driver of conflict in Africa, particularly between nomadic pastoralists and sedentary farmers. The Index-Based Livestock Insurance (IBLI) piloted in Kenya provides automated, preemptive payouts to pastoralists affected by droughts. Combining plausibly exogenous variation in rainfall and the staggered rollout of IBLI in Kenya over the 2001-2020 period, we find that IBLI strongly reduces drought-induced conflict. Key mechanisms are an income smoothing effect and reduced migratory pressure for pastoralists, reducing the likelihood of miscoordination with other land users. Our study suggests that market-based solutions are a scalable, cost-effective pathway to mitigate conflict, complementing political solutions such as institutional reforms.Type:conference paper - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Ethnofederalism and ethnic voting *(2024-08-15) ;Richard Bluhm; We study how the design of subnational political borders shapes the ethnicization of national politics. We introduce novel measures that approximate the extent to which political boundaries follow a country's ethnic geography. We then analyze the effects of the 2010 constitutional reform in Kenya, which divided the country's eight provinces into 47 counties and devolved power to these new counties. Using difference-indifference designs, we find that ethnofederal reforms, reforms that increase the alignment between political divisions and ethnic geography, reduce ethnic voting in national elections. A key channel is that ethnofederalism "tranquilizes" locally powerful groups that control the provision of local public goods. Finally, we evaluate the counterfactual effects of alternative boundary proposals on ethnic voting in Kenya.Type:conference paper - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
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Item type:Publication, Policies for Sustainable Mining: When Geography Matters(2026); ; Alberto VesperoniType:book section - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Regional majorities: How administrative divisions shape comparative development(2026-03-24) ;Bluhm, Richard; Type:conference contribution - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Ethnofederalism and ethnic voting(2024-04-02) ;Bluhm, Richard; Ethnic identities are salient in many diverse developing countries. Ethnic politics is harmful if it comes with an "us against them" logic:Type:conference contribution - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
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