Lukas Zumbrunn
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Zumbrunn
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Lukas
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lukas.zumbrunn@unisg.ch
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+41 71 224 2533

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Now showing 1 - 4 of 4
  • Publication
    Resilience through Foresight: Implications for the Public Sector
    ( 2023-10-11)
    Zumbrunn, Lukas orcid-logo
    Foresight is a strategic tool, which a state may implement to set priorities in politics and investments, show potential gaps in knowledge and information, and importantly better understand uncertainties. Therefore, foresight is a suitable method to increase a state’s resilience in various fields. The present study aims at answering the following question: What are the decisive factors for the use of foresight in enhancing state resilience, and what are the effective strategies for its practical implementation? The question is answered by taking a multi-method approach, combining a multi-step literature review with an illustrative case analysis of the implementation of foresight for resilience. The results are twofold: Firstly, by creating a structured framework based on research, the present paper develops a better understanding of projects aiming to achieve increased resilience through the application of foresight. Secondly, the case study on the United Kingdom’s Resilience Framework demonstrates the practical applicability of the framework and shows how the UK approaches resilience by applying foresight. The paper thereby highlights the potential of well-structured foresight projects as a central tool for states to help create an understanding of and make crucial decisions on resilience despite uncertainty.
    Type: journal article
    Journal: Swiss Yearbook of Administrative Sciences
    Volume: 14
    Issue: 1
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/ssas.183
    URI: https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/handle/20.500.14171/118296
  • Publication
    Factors contributing to the use of foresight reports in parliament - the German case
    ( 2024)
    Zumbrunn, Lukas orcid-logo
    ;
    Kuno Schedler orcid-logo
    This study investigates the factors influencing the effective use of public sector foresight reports in political decision-making, with a particular focus on the German parliamentary context. Utilizing the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) as a theoretical framework, the research examines the perceived usefulness (PU), perceived ease of use (PEOU), attitude towards using (ATU), and behavioral intention to use (BIU) of foresight reports among German parliamentarians. The study extends TAM by incorporating specific contextual factors relevant to foresight in policymaking, such as participative foresight, the organizational setup of foresight units, and the actionability of insights. Through a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) approach, the paper aims to unravel the complex interplay between these factors and their impact on parliamentarians' willingness to integrate foresight reports into their legislative work. The current hypotheses suggest that participative foresight, perceived actionability of reports, and alignment with political ideologies significantly influence the acceptance and use of foresight in policy formulation. However, the data collection is still to be done. This research will contribute to the literature on public management and foresight studies by providing nuanced insights into the success factors and challenges associated with incorporating foresight reports into political decision-making processes. Additionally, the study will offer practical implications for enhancing the impact of foresight activities within the public sector, particularly in terms of report design, dissemination strategies, and stakeholder engagement.
    Type: conference paper
    URI: https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/handle/20.500.14171/119911
  • Publication
    Type: conference contribution
    URI: https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/handle/20.500.14171/120517
  • Publication
    Type: newspaper article
    URL: https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/e-id-legitimitaet-und-nutzung-verknuepfen-ld.1706123
    URI: https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/handle/20.500.14171/108151