Thomas Yibai Li
Last Name
Li
First name
Thomas Yibai
Email
thomas.li@unisg.ch
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Item type:Publication, A Feeling Beyond Cognition: Can Certain Emotions Help Increase Prediction Accuracy of the Future?Much of the focus on increasing prediction accuracy of future events has been placed on improving cognition. While cognition is important, the current study is expected to show that affective factors contribute significantly to the precision of these future forecasts. Specifically, emotions characterized by either certainty appraisals or uncertainty appraisals are expected to create differing impact on the forecasting accuracy of five different future events across various domains (e.g., politics, weather, stock market performance). Certainty-charged emotions will increase prediction accuracy due to an increased focus on heuristic processing, whereas uncertainty-charged emotions will decrease prediction accuracy due to an overreliance on systematic processing. Although counter-intuitive, prior research has shown a similar mechanism that led to these expected results.Type:conference paper